Bitcoin Two-Week Outlook — Targets & Stoploss (For US Traders)
Quick Summary
Bitcoin is trading near USD 113.8K after a recent swing low around ~USD 104K and highs near ~USD 125K. Two realistic scenarios are in play over the next two weeks depending on risk sentiment driven by geopolitical headlines (notably Trump/US-China trade news).
Technical Targets & Risk Plan
Bullish Plan
- Entry (pick your sizing): current area (~USD 113K) or wait for dip to ~USD 108K
- Target: USD 122K → stretch target 125K
- Stop-loss: USD 100K (conservative) or USD 104K (tighter)
- Manage: scale out into resistance bands; tighten stops after +5–8% move
Bearish / Risk-Off Plan
- Trigger: decisive break & daily close below USD 108K
- Target: USD 104K → extended move to USD 100K on heavy flow
- Stop-loss: place above the breakdown (eg. USD 110K)
- Notes: news spikes (tariffs, regulatory) can create violent intraday moves — use size discipline
Outlook — How Trump / Geo-Politics Matter
U.S. political headlines — especially trade rhetoric or tariff announcements — increase risk-off flows. When trade tensions spike, BTC has historically reacted with sharp downside swings as investors seek USD liquidity. Conversely, de-escalation or clarifying statements can restore risk appetite and push BTC toward the upper resistance band (USD 120K+).
Keep an eye on major headline events, official statements, and any market-moving data (e.g., CPI, Fed commentary). Those events will likely determine whether BTC tests the 120–125K zone or re-tests the 104–100K support.
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